|
Michigan Likely Voters |
Tossup including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate or voted absentee |
Newt Gingrich |
Mitt Romney |
Rick Santorum |
Ron Paul |
Uncommitted |
Other |
Undecided |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Michigan Likely Voters |
8% |
37% |
35% |
13% |
2% |
1% |
4% |
Voted absentee |
12% |
49% |
26% |
9% |
0% |
3% |
0% |
Party Identification** |
Republican |
10% |
42% |
34% |
7% |
2% |
0% |
4% |
Independent |
5% |
34% |
34% |
21% |
2% |
1% |
4% |
Tea Party Supporters |
11% |
29% |
48% |
8% |
2% |
0% |
2% |
Intensity of Tea Party Support |
Strongly support Tea Party |
18% |
16% |
60% |
3% |
3% |
0% |
1% |
Support Tea Party |
7% |
36% |
41% |
11% |
1% |
1% |
3% |
Does not support Tea Party |
5% |
45% |
24% |
18% |
2% |
1% |
4% |
Political Ideology |
Liberal-Moderate |
5% |
44% |
23% |
22% |
2% |
1% |
4% |
Conservative |
9% |
38% |
35% |
9% |
2% |
0% |
5% |
Very conservative |
11% |
20% |
59% |
5% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
Political Ideology |
Liberal-Moderate |
5% |
44% |
23% |
22% |
2% |
1% |
4% |
Conservative-Very conservative |
10% |
33% |
42% |
8% |
2% |
1% |
4% |
Past Participation*** |
Yes |
8% |
38% |
37% |
11% |
2% |
1% |
4% |
No |
9% |
33% |
25% |
24% |
3% |
1% |
4% |
Candidate Support |
Strongly support |
8% |
39% |
38% |
12% |
2% |
1% |
0% |
Somewhat support |
5% |
42% |
38% |
15% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Might vote differently |
13% |
35% |
33% |
19% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
Most Important Quality |
Shares your values |
6% |
25% |
48% |
15% |
3% |
0% |
4% |
Is closest to you on the issues |
8% |
37% |
28% |
21% |
2% |
0% |
4% |
Can beat President Obama in 2012 |
10% |
44% |
35% |
5% |
2% |
1% |
3% |
Has the experience to govern |
8% |
54% |
24% |
10% |
1% |
1% |
3% |
Gender |
Men |
8% |
35% |
36% |
15% |
1% |
1% |
4% |
Women |
8% |
39% |
33% |
11% |
3% |
0% |
4% |
Age |
Under 45 |
7% |
35% |
30% |
21% |
1% |
0% |
6% |
45 or older |
9% |
37% |
38% |
9% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
Region |
Wayne County (Detroit) |
7% |
37% |
28% |
19% |
5% |
1% |
3% |
Oakland and Macomb Counties |
5% |
41% |
35% |
14% |
3% |
0% |
2% |
Lansing-Ann Arbor Area |
8% |
35% |
35% |
13% |
2% |
1% |
6% |
Grand Rapids Area |
7% |
38% |
35% |
13% |
2% |
1% |
4% |
North Central/Upper Peninsula |
13% |
34% |
39% |
8% |
0% |
1% |
5% |
Household Income |
Less than $75,000 |
8% |
36% |
36% |
13% |
2% |
1% |
4% |
$75,000 or more |
7% |
41% |
36% |
12% |
1% |
0% |
3% |
Evangelical Christians |
8% |
27% |
48% |
10% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
Mormons are Christians |
Yes |
8% |
45% |
28% |
14% |
3% |
0% |
3% |
No-Unsure |
9% |
26% |
44% |
12% |
2% |
1% |
6% |
Education |
Not college graduate |
9% |
35% |
33% |
14% |
3% |
1% |
5% |
College graduate |
7% |
39% |
38% |
12% |
1% |
0% |
3% |
Interview Type |
Landline |
7% |
38% |
36% |
11% |
2% |
1% |
4% |
Cell Phone |
10% |
33% |
30% |
20% |
3% |
0% |
4% |
NBC News/Marist Poll Michigan Likely Republican Primary Voters. Interviews conducted February 19th and 20th, 2012, N=715 MOE +/- 3.7 percentage points. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. **There are too few Democrats for analysis purposes ***Past participation refers to previous participation in a Michigan Republican Presidential Primary. |